Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Windsor Knoll Eviction Risk: Lower , Kingstowne
Tract 51059421102 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,638 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 3.8/10, tract 51059421102 in the Windsor Knoll area of Kingstowne, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 58% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,392
Renter share44.1%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$150,662
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kingstowne and the region
Centroid at 38.7541, -77.1557 · click any tract to drill in
Why Windsor Knoll scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kingstowne
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,963 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kingstowne
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kingstowne
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kingstowne
4.9
How Windsor Knoll compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 68Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2011)
- 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 28% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Windsor Knoll. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 12.3%Frequent mental distress
- 23.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Windsor Knoll
The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.2/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10.
Average gross rent is $1,963, 18% below the Kingstowne average. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10. SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 68 evictions over 4 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2011, when 4.6% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059421102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059421102?
Census tract 51059421102 in the Windsor Knoll neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059421102?
Median gross rent is $1,963/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059421102?
4.7% of residents in tract 51059421102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,638.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059421102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 84th, minority 71th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 51059421102 considered part of Windsor Knoll?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059421102 fall within Windsor Knoll (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059421102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 68 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059421102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.78% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059421102 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059421102 compare to Kingstowne overall?
Tract 51059421102 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Kingstowne at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kingstowne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kingstowne
Top eight tracts in Kingstowne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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