Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Windsor Knoll Eviction Risk: Moderate , Kingstowne
Tract 51059422401 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,651 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 4.4/10, tract 51059422401 in the Windsor Knoll area of Kingstowne, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,651. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.3/10.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,110
Renter share47.0%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$123,393
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kingstowne and the region
Centroid at 38.7629, -77.1440 · click any tract to drill in
Why Windsor Knoll scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kingstowne
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,247 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kingstowne
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kingstowne
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kingstowne
4.9
How Windsor Knoll compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 318Total filings over 4 yrs
- 14.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.4%Peak (2013)
- 84Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Windsor Knoll. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.6%Food insecurity
- 8.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 22.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Windsor Knoll
19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10.
Cost burden runs 46% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County. The filing record is not thin: 318 evictions over 4 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 16.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 14.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.7/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Fairfax County average of 4.3 closely. Average gross rent is $2,247, close to the Kingstowne average.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $123,393. 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059422401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059422401?
Census tract 51059422401 in the Windsor Knoll neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059422401?
Median gross rent is $2,247/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059422401?
8.1% of residents in tract 51059422401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,651.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059422401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 55th, minority 64th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 51059422401 considered part of Windsor Knoll?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059422401 fall within Windsor Knoll (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059422401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 318 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059422401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.03% of renter households, peaking at 16.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059422401 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059422401 compare to Kingstowne overall?
Tract 51059422401 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Kingstowne at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kingstowne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kingstowne
Top eight tracts in Kingstowne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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