Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Liberty Eviction Risk: Lower , Laurel Hill
Tract 51059422201 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,948 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 51059422201 covers part of the Liberty area of Laurel Hill, VA, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,948 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.7/10.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,377
Renter share25.1%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$151,036
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Laurel Hill and the region
Centroid at 38.7119, -77.2345 · click any tract to drill in
Why Liberty scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Laurel Hill
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,299 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Laurel Hill
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Laurel Hill
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Laurel Hill
3.6
How Liberty compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 15Total filings over 4 yrs
- 3.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.4%Peak (2016)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 167% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Liberty. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.3%Food insecurity
- 5.1%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 5.4%No health insurance
- 11.5%Frequent mental distress
- 22.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Liberty
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.4/10. Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
SNAP participation runs 5.1% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.3% against 17.8% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 15 filings here across 4 tracked years. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 6.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 3.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059422201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059422201?
Census tract 51059422201 in the Liberty neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059422201?
Median gross rent is $2,299/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059422201?
7.0% of residents in tract 51059422201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,948.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059422201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 54th, minority 74th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 51059422201 considered part of Liberty?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059422201 fall within Liberty (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059422201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 15 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059422201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.30% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059422201 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059422201 compare to Laurel Hill overall?
Tract 51059422201 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Laurel Hill at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Laurel Hill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Laurel Hill
Top eight tracts in Laurel Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related