Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Liberty Eviction Risk: Lower , Laurel Hill
Tract 51059422202 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 7,201 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 51059422202 covers part of the Liberty area of Laurel Hill, VA, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,201. Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units2,335
Renter share25.2%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$134,882
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Laurel Hill and the region
Centroid at 38.6924, -77.2401 · click any tract to drill in
Why Liberty scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Laurel Hill
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,837 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Laurel Hill
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Laurel Hill
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Laurel Hill
3.6
How Liberty compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 251Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.58%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.9%Peak (2013)
- 30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Liberty. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.5%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 5.8%No health insurance
- 12.7%Frequent mental distress
- 19.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Liberty
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 22.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.4/10. At $2,837 a month, rents run 18% over what the rest of Laurel Hill commands.
On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.3/10. SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally.
Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 251 filings here across 4 tracked years.
Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally. Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 12.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 8.6% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.8/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059422202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059422202?
Census tract 51059422202 in the Liberty neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059422202?
Median gross rent is $2,837/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059422202?
3.2% of residents in tract 51059422202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,201.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059422202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 60th, minority 79th, housing 36th.
Q5
Is tract 51059422202 considered part of Liberty?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059422202 fall within Liberty (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059422202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 251 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059422202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.58% of renter households, peaking at 12.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059422202 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059422202 compare to Laurel Hill overall?
Tract 51059422202 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Laurel Hill at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Laurel Hill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Laurel Hill
Top eight tracts in Laurel Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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