Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Lee Boulevard Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Seven Corners
Tract 51059451501 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,663 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 7.3/10, tract 51059451501 in the Lee Boulevard Heights area of Seven Corners, VA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,663. Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 3.0 points.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,263
Renter share39.7%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate18.2%
Median income$92,031
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seven Corners and the region
Centroid at 38.8643, -77.1444 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lee Boulevard Heights scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Seven Corners
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
18.2% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,658 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seven Corners
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seven Corners
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seven Corners
5.9
How Lee Boulevard Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 207Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.8%Peak (2013)
- 62Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 68% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lee Boulevard Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.1%Housing insecurity
- 9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.8%Food insecurity
- 15.1%SNAP enrollment
- 10.2%Transit barriers
- 16.4%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 31.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lee Boulevard Heights
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. 30% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Fairfax County average of 41.0%.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.4/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.
The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 207 evictions over 4 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2013, when 5.8% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 4.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059451501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059451501?
Census tract 51059451501 in the Lee Boulevard Heights neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059451501?
Median gross rent is $1,658/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059451501?
18.2% of residents in tract 51059451501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,663.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059451501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 81th, minority 72th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 51059451501 considered part of Lee Boulevard Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059451501 fall within Lee Boulevard Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059451501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 207 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059451501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.38% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059451501 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059451501 compare to Seven Corners overall?
Tract 51059451501 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Seven Corners at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seven Corners; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Seven Corners
Top eight tracts in Seven Corners ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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