Parklawn Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincolnia
Tract 51059451800 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,590 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 51059451800 in the Parklawn area of Lincolnia, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,590 residents. 72% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Fairfax County average of 41.0%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lincolnia and the region
Centroid at 38.8326, -77.1439 · click any tract to drill in
Why Parklawn scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Parklawn compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 27Total filings over 4 yrs
- 5.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.7%Peak (2016)
- 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.3%Food insecurity
- 7.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 12.3%Frequent mental distress
- 25.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Parklawn
The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $3,500, 63% above the Lincolnia average.
The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.
Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 27 filings here across 4 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2016, when 7.7% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 5.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 3.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 51059451800
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059451800?
What is the average rent in tract 51059451800?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059451800?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059451800?
Is tract 51059451800 considered part of Parklawn?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059451800?
What share of households in tract 51059451800 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059451800 compare to Lincolnia overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Lincolnia
Top eight tracts in Lincolnia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.