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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,188 of 84,120 nationally

Stonewall Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dunn Loring

Tract 51059460701 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,166 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 51059460701 sits in the Stonewall Manor neighborhood of Dunn Loring, Virginia. It has a population of 3,166 and an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). 36% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 25% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,285/month against a median household income of $145,855 — roughly 19% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 26% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,089
Renter share40.2%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$145,855

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 2 tracts In Stonewall Manor
Very High
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank — 25th percentileBottomTop
#4 of 5 tracts In Dunn Loring
Low
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank — 37th percentileBottomTop
#173 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Low
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank — 49th percentileBottomTop
#1,113 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dunn Loring and the region

Centroid at 38.8828, -77.2538 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stonewall Manor scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dunn Loring
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,285 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dunn Loring
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dunn Loring
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dunn Loring
4.3

How Stonewall Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Stonewall Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 460701Dunn Loring: 3.93.9Dunn Loringparent cityCounty: 5.45.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.35.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 47Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 2.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.1%Peak (2016)
  • 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 — 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594607012011: 9 filings (1.88/100 renter HHs)2012: 12 filings (2.50/100 renter HHs)2013: 8 filings (1.67/100 renter HHs)2016: 18 filings (5.08/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Stonewall Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059460701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059460701?

Census tract 51059460701 in the Stonewall Manor neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059460701?

Median gross rent is $2,285/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059460701?

7.2% of residents in tract 51059460701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,166.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059460701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 59th, minority 65th, housing 29th.

Q5

Is tract 51059460701 considered part of Stonewall Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059460701 fall within Stonewall Manor (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059460701?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 47 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059460701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.78% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 51059460701 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 51059460701 compare to Dunn Loring overall?

Tract 51059460701 scores 5.2/10 — higher than the parent city of Dunn Loring at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dunn Loring; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dunn Loring

Top eight tracts in Dunn Loring ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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