Stonewall Manor Eviction Risk: Lower

The voucher gap is 28.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Against a Dunn Loring baseline of 24.9%, 16% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Running hot is supply constraint at 7.8/10. Court records carry 52 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

11% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. At $2,973 a month, rents sit 15% under what the rest of Dunn Loring commands.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. 4.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 5.1% of renter households.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. Judgments average 0.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Against average income of $195,241, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.