Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally
Penderwood Eviction Risk: Lower , Difficult Run
Tract 51059482604 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,896 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 51059482604 covers the Penderwood neighborhood of Difficult Run, home to 3,896 residents. For landlords it grades 5.2/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 44th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 100% of renter households, a severe level, and 100% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $232,120 a year. About 1% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 99%
Tract context
Occupied units1,270
Renter share0.7%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$232,120
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
19
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Difficult Run and the region
Centroid at 38.8891, -77.3929 · click any tract to drill in
Why Penderwood scores 1.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Difficult Run
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Difficult Run
1.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Difficult Run
1.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Difficult Run
2.7
How Penderwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 0%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Penderwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.8%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.0%Transit barriers
- 4.2%No health insurance
- 10.1%Frequent mental distress
- 18.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Penderwood
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Difficult Run, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is Asian and White and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059482604
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482604?
Census tract 51059482604 in the Penderwood neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482604?
7.8% of residents in tract 51059482604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,896.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482604?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 45th, minority 77th, housing 0th.
Q4
Is tract 51059482604 considered part of Penderwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059482604 fall within Penderwood (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 51059482604 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51059482604 compare to Difficult Run overall?
Tract 51059482604 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Difficult Run at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Difficult Run; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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