3 census tracts · pop 12,953 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10
· range 3–5.3
Penderwood takes in 3 census tracts of Difficult Run, VA, population 12,953. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.5/10, in the Lower tier. Severe burden reaches 42%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
Against a Difficult Run baseline of 30.9%, 62% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.3/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 5.3, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.
At $2,210 a month, rents sit 28% under what the rest of Difficult Run commands. The voucher gap is 25.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
Sitting well above the midpoint is supply constraint at 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 11 evictions logged in this tract. 3.0% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.7/10. 4.1% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 5.9% of renter households.
Judgments average 2.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 8% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.3 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Penderwood vs Difficult RunHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority58%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport8%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Penderwood
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
11Total filings (sum)
4.15%Avg annual filing rate
5.9%Peak year (2016)
5.88%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Penderwood
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
4.7%Housing insecurity
3.0%Utility shutoff threat
5.4%Food insecurity
3.0%SNAP enrollment
4.0%No health insurance
19.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Penderwood
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Penderwood?
Penderwood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Penderwood compare to Difficult Run overall?
Penderwood scores 0.1 points higher than Difficult Run overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,210 vs $3,066.
Q3
What is the average rent in Penderwood?
Average gross rent in Penderwood is $2,210/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Penderwood residents are renters?
8% of Penderwood households are renter-occupied (vs 2% in Difficult Run). The neighborhood has 12,953 residents.
Q5
Is Penderwood a high social-vulnerability area?
Penderwood sits in the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Penderwood have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Penderwood is census tract 51059482603 (score 5.3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.3, a spread of 2.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Penderwood for landlords?
Penderwood carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Difficult Run as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Penderwood?
Penderwood has 12,962 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (33.9%), Hispanic / Latino (6.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
