Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Crystal Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , Braddock
Tract 51059490502 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 6,601 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
51059490502 is a census tract in the Crystal Springs area of Braddock, VA. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,601. 56% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,168
Renter share18.2%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$213,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Braddock and the region
Centroid at 38.8417, -77.3714 · click any tract to drill in
Why Crystal Springs scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Braddock
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,291 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Braddock
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Braddock
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Braddock
5.7
How Crystal Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 21Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.1%Peak (2012)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Crystal Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.1%Food insecurity
- 3.6%SNAP enrollment
- 3.8%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 10.8%Frequent mental distress
- 21.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Crystal Springs
74% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Fairfax County average of 41.0%. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Housing insecurity runs 5.3% against 14.2% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.2/10. It sits 0.9 points below the Fairfax County average of 4.3.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 21 filings here across 4 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 5.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059490502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059490502?
Census tract 51059490502 in the Crystal Springs neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059490502?
Median gross rent is $2,291/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059490502?
3.2% of residents in tract 51059490502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,601.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059490502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 47th, minority 64th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 51059490502 considered part of Crystal Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059490502 fall within Crystal Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059490502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 21 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059490502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.65% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059490502 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059490502 compare to Braddock overall?
Tract 51059490502 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Braddock at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Braddock; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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