Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Ashland Park Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51085320601 · Hanover County, VA · pop 5,249 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
51085320601 is a census tract in the Ashland Park area of Ashland, VA. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,249. 56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Hanover County average of 36.2%.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,448
Renter share43.0%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate20.3%
Median income$77,174
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ashland and the region
Centroid at 37.7789, -77.4710 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ashland Park scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ashland
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
20.3% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,231 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ashland
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ashland
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ashland
5.9
How Ashland Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.0%Food insecurity
- 12.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 8.3%No health insurance
- 19.6%Frequent mental distress
- 33.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ashland Park
Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.
It sits 1.6 points above the Hanover County average of 3.9. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.
The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.6/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,231, close to the Ashland average. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $77,174.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51085320601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51085320601?
Census tract 51085320601 in the Ashland Park neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51085320601?
Median gross rent is $1,231/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51085320601?
20.3% of residents in tract 51085320601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,249.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51085320601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 40th, minority 52th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 51085320601 considered part of Ashland Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51085320601 fall within Ashland Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51085320601 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51085320601 compare to Ashland overall?
Tract 51085320601 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Ashland at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashland; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ashland
Top eight tracts in Ashland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related