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Neighborhood · Ashland, VA

Ashland Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,249 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Ashland Park maps to a single census tract in Ashland, VA and houses 5,249 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.5/10, Moderate tier. 56% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Ashland rate of 29.4%.

29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.2/10.

The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Average gross rent runs $1,231, close to the Ashland average. 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Ashland Park vs Ashland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.2% +91%
Ashland: 29.4%
Average gross rent
$1,231 +0%
Ashland: $1,229
Average HH income
$77,174 +19%
Ashland: $65,000
Poverty rate
20.3% +24%
Ashland: 16.4%
Renter share
43.0% -3%
Ashland: 44.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ashland Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Ashland Park scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
43% renter households · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
20.3% below poverty line · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Ashland Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Ashland Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.5Ashland ParkNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Ashland Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51085320601 5.5 5,249 56% $1,231
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 73

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 61%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 40%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 52%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 94%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ashland Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Ashland Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Ashland Park?

Ashland Park scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Ashland Park compare to Ashland overall?

Ashland Park scores 1.4 points higher than Ashland overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,231 vs $1,229.
Q3

What is the average rent in Ashland Park?

Average gross rent in Ashland Park is $1,231/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Ashland Park residents are renters?

43% of Ashland Park households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Ashland). The neighborhood has 5,249 residents.
Q5

Is Ashland Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Ashland Park sits in the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Ashland Park for landlords?

Ashland Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ashland as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Ashland Park?

Ashland Park has 5,177 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (68.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.9%), Other / Multiracial (4.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Ashland Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Ashland

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ashland Park.

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