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Census Tract · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally

Hanover Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51085320702 · Hanover County, VA · pop 3,383 · 8% of tract blocks fall in Hanover

Tract 51085320702, home to 3,383 residents in Hanover, scores $1/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 37th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

62% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 62% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $160,701 a year. Renters make up 4% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 1% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,111
Renter share3.5%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$160,701

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Hanover
Very Low
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#15 of 25 tracts In Hanover County
Moderate
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#1,499 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
National
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#75,086 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Hanover and the region

Centroid at 37.7272, -77.3374 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hanover scores 1.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Hanover
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hanover
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hanover
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hanover
2.4

How Hanover compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hanover risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.91.9This tracttract 320702Hanover: 3.13.1Hanoverparent cityCounty: 2.22.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hanover

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hanover, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hanover County average of 5.2 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51085320702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51085320702?

Census tract 51085320702 in Hanover scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 51085320702?

1.9% of residents in tract 51085320702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,383.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 51085320702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 15th, minority 23th, housing 21th.
Q4

What share of households in tract 51085320702 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5

How does tract 51085320702 compare to Hanover overall?

Tract 51085320702 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Hanover at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hanover; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hanover

Top eight tracts in Hanover ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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