Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 51085321403 Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51085321403 · Hanover County, VA · pop 2,956
Tract 51085321403 covers Hanover in Hanover County in Virginia. Home to 2,956 residents, it scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 15th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 13% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,453 monthly, set against $122,716 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 11% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,153
Renter share10.9%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$122,716
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within state
31
th percentile
Low
National
11
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hanover County and the region
Centroid at 37.6220, -77.1605 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 51085321403 scores 1.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,453 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 51085321403 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 0%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.2%Food insecurity
- 6.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.1%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 29.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 51085321403
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Virginia eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hanover County average of 5.2 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51085321403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51085321403?
Census tract 51085321403 in Hanover County scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51085321403?
Median gross rent is $1,453/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51085321403?
2.5% of residents in tract 51085321403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,956.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51085321403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 20th, minority 19th, housing 0th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 51085321403 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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