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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

English Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 51087200126 · Henrico County, VA · pop 3,495 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

51087200126 is a census tract in the English Hills area of Henrico County, VA. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 50% Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units2,060
Renter share91.6%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$57,183

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In English Hills
Very High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#9 of 85 tracts In Henrico County
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#226 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
National
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#22,681 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Henrico County and the region

Centroid at 37.6336, -77.5481 · click any tract to drill in

Why English Hills scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,411 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How English Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
English Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 2001264.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 640Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 16.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.5%Peak (2015)
  • 302Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within English Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in English Hills

This is renter territory: 92% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Henrico County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

The filing record is not thin: 640 evictions over 2 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2015, when 17.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 16.8% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters. Average gross rent runs $1,411 a month.

Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $57,183.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087200126

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200126?

Census tract 51087200126 in the English Hills neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51087200126?

Median gross rent is $1,411/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200126?

14.9% of residents in tract 51087200126 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,495.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200126?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 9th, minority 72th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 51087200126 considered part of English Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200126 fall within English Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200126?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 640 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200126 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.75% of renter households, peaking at 17.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51087200126 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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