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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

English Hills Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51087200407 · Henrico County, VA · pop 5,692 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 51087200407 covers English Hills in Henrico in Virginia. Home to 5,692 residents, it scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 55th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 39% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,801 a month against an average household income of $86,615 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 28% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,067
Renter share46.2%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$86,615

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In English Hills
Very Low
Within county
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 85 tracts In Henrico County
Moderate
Within state
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#1,175 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
National
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#65,113 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Henrico County and the region

Centroid at 37.6429, -77.5456 · click any tract to drill in

Why English Hills scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,801 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How English Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
English Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 200407County: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 682Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 44.23%Avg annual filing rate
  • 49.6%Peak (2015)
  • 293Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within English Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in English Hills

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Virginia eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Henrico County average of 6.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087200407

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200407?

Census tract 51087200407 in the English Hills neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51087200407?

Median gross rent is $1,801/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200407?

5.6% of residents in tract 51087200407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,692.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200407?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 66th, minority 62th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 51087200407 considered part of English Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200407 fall within English Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200407?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 682 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200407 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 44.23% of renter households, peaking at 49.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51087200407 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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