Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
English Hills Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51087200407 · Henrico County, VA · pop 5,692 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 51087200407 in the English Hills area of Henrico County, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,692. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,067
Renter share46.2%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$86,615
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
National
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Henrico County and the region
Centroid at 37.6429, -77.5456 · click any tract to drill in
Why English Hills scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,801 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How English Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 682Total filings over 2 yrs
- 44.23%Avg annual filing rate
- 49.6%Peak (2015)
- 293Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within English Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.0%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 30.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in English Hills
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.4/10. 39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Henrico County average of 47.8%.
11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Court records carry 682 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Filings peaked in 2015 at 49.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 44.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Henrico County average of 4.3 closely. Average gross rent runs $1,801 a month.
Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $86,615.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200407
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200407?
Census tract 51087200407 in the English Hills neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200407?
Median gross rent is $1,801/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200407?
5.6% of residents in tract 51087200407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,692.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200407?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 66th, minority 62th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200407 considered part of English Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200407 fall within English Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200407?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 682 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200407 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 44.23% of renter households, peaking at 49.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087200407 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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