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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,435 of 84,120 nationally

Wedgewood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tuckahoe

Tract 51087200137 · Henrico County, VA · pop 1,812 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.9/10 for census tract 51087200137 reflects conditions in the Wedgewood area of Tuckahoe, Virginia. That is riskier than about 70% of US census tracts.

76% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,757 monthly, set against $69,904 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 7% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units891
Renter share29.2%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$69,904

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileBottomTop
#3 of 3 tracts In Wedgewood
Very Low
Within county
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileBottomTop
#46 of 85 tracts In Henrico County
Moderate
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileBottomTop
#492 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
National
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileBottomTop
#29,435 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tuckahoe and the region

Centroid at 37.6105, -77.5825 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wedgewood scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tuckahoe
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,757 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tuckahoe
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tuckahoe
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tuckahoe
5.0

How Wedgewood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Wedgewood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 200137Tuckahoe: 5.95.9Tuckahoeparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Wedgewood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wedgewood

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tuckahoe eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087200137

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200137?

Census tract 51087200137 in the Wedgewood neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51087200137?

Median gross rent is $1,757/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200137?

6.3% of residents in tract 51087200137 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,812.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200137?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 40th, minority 49th, housing 14th.

Q5

Is tract 51087200137 considered part of Wedgewood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200137 fall within Wedgewood (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

Q6

What share of households in tract 51087200137 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q7

How does tract 51087200137 compare to Tuckahoe overall?

Tract 51087200137 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Tuckahoe at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tuckahoe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

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