Neighborhood · Ranked #15,778 of 84,120 nationally

Wedgewood Eviction Risk: Elevated , Tuckahoe

Tract 51087200153 · Henrico County, VA · pop 4,171 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Here is how census tract 51087200153, in Wedgewood in Tuckahoe eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.5/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 4,171. On the national scale it ranks #11,684 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,132 a month while the average household earns $58,873 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 29% Owners 38%

Tract context

Occupied units1,450

Renter share62.0%

SVI overall0.72

Poverty rate11.5%

Median income$58,873

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tuckahoe and the region

Centroid at 37.6115, -77.5690 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wedgewood scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tuckahoe

8.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

11.5% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$1,132 rent vs county FMR

1.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tuckahoe

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tuckahoe

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tuckahoe

5.4

How Wedgewood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

65%Socioeconomic
83%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Wedgewood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.0%Housing insecurity
9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
18.0%Food insecurity
14.9%SNAP enrollment
9.9%Transit barriers
11.9%No health insurance
17.5%Frequent mental distress
32.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wedgewood

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tuckahoe eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087200153

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200153?

Census tract 51087200153 in the Wedgewood neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51087200153?

Median gross rent is $1,132/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200153?

11.5% of residents in tract 51087200153 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,171.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200153?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 83th, minority 60th, housing 59th.

Is tract 51087200153 considered part of Wedgewood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200153 fall within Wedgewood (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51087200153 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51087200153 compare to Tuckahoe overall?

Tract 51087200153 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Tuckahoe at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tuckahoe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tuckahoe

Top eight tracts in Tuckahoe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.