Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Wedgewood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tuckahoe
Tract 51087200153 ·
Henrico County, VA · pop 4,171 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 51087200153 sits in the Wedgewood area of Tuckahoe eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%Stable renters 29%Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,450
Renter share62.0%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$58,873
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Wedgewood
Very High
Within parent city
85th percentile
#3 of 14 tracts In Tuckahoe
High
Within county
73th percentile
#24 of 85 tracts In Henrico County
Elevated
Within state
81th percentile
#421 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tuckahoe and the region
Centroid at 37.6115, -77.5690 · click any tract to drill in
Why Wedgewood scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tuckahoe
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,132 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tuckahoe
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tuckahoe
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tuckahoe
5.4
How Wedgewood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
15.0%Housing insecurity
9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
18.0%Food insecurity
14.9%SNAP enrollment
9.9%Transit barriers
11.9%No health insurance
17.5%Frequent mental distress
32.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Wedgewood
23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.6/10. At $1,132 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Tuckahoe commands.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. Cost burden runs 54% here against 47.8% across Henrico County.
Against the Henrico County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $58,873. 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200153
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200153?
Census tract 51087200153 in the Wedgewood neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200153?
Median gross rent is $1,132/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200153?
11.5% of residents in tract 51087200153 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,171.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200153?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 83th, minority 60th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200153 considered part of Wedgewood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200153 fall within Wedgewood (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51087200153 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51087200153 compare to Tuckahoe overall?
Tract 51087200153 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tuckahoe at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tuckahoe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tuckahoe
Top eight tracts in Tuckahoe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.