Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Stonewall Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lakeside
Tract 51087200801 · Henrico County, VA · pop 2,865 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of $1/10, tract 51087200801 in the Stonewall Manor area of Lakeside ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,865 residents. On the national scale it ranks #5,182 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,171 a month against an average household income of $64,844 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 42% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,440
Renter share41.9%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate18.1%
Median income$64,844
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lakeside and the region
Centroid at 37.6320, -77.4706 · click any tract to drill in
Why Stonewall Manor scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lakeside
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
18.1% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,171 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeside
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeside
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeside
7.3
How Stonewall Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 283Total filings over 2 yrs
- 24.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 28.2%Peak (2015)
- 136Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.4%Food insecurity
- 15.8%SNAP enrollment
- 9.7%Transit barriers
- 9.6%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 35.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Stonewall Manor
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lakeside, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 283 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 24.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 28.2% of renter households in 2015.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200801?
Census tract 51087200801 in the Stonewall Manor neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200801?
Median gross rent is $1,171/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200801?
18.1% of residents in tract 51087200801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,865.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 61th, minority 67th, housing 45th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200801 considered part of Stonewall Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200801 fall within Stonewall Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200801?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 283 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.02% of renter households, peaking at 28.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087200801 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087200801 compare to Lakeside overall?
Tract 51087200801 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeside at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeside; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lakeside
Top eight tracts in Lakeside ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related