Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Stonewall Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lakeside
Tract 51087200801 · Henrico County, VA · pop 2,865 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51087200801 covers part of the Stonewall Manor area of Lakeside, VA, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,440
Renter share41.9%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate18.1%
Median income$64,844
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lakeside and the region
Centroid at 37.6320, -77.4706 · click any tract to drill in
Why Stonewall Manor scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lakeside
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
18.1% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,171 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeside
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeside
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeside
7.3
How Stonewall Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 283Total filings over 2 yrs
- 24.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 28.2%Peak (2015)
- 136Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.4%Food insecurity
- 15.8%SNAP enrollment
- 9.7%Transit barriers
- 9.6%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 35.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Stonewall Manor
The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.6/10.
It sits 1.2 points above the Henrico County average of 4.3. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 283 eviction filings across 2 observed years.
Average gross rent is $1,171, 14% below the Lakeside average. The worst year on record was 2015, when 28.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 24.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 7.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200801?
Census tract 51087200801 in the Stonewall Manor neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200801?
Median gross rent is $1,171/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200801?
18.1% of residents in tract 51087200801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,865.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 61th, minority 67th, housing 45th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200801 considered part of Stonewall Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200801 fall within Stonewall Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200801?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 283 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.02% of renter households, peaking at 28.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087200801 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087200801 compare to Lakeside overall?
Tract 51087200801 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeside at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeside; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lakeside
Top eight tracts in Lakeside ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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