Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Lakeside Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51087200600 · Henrico County, VA · pop 4,738
51087200600 is a census tract in Lakeside, VA. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,738. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,345
Renter share46.9%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$64,626
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
78
th percentile
High
National
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lakeside and the region
Centroid at 37.6119, -77.4785 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakeside scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lakeside
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,296 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeside
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeside
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeside
7.3
How Lakeside compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 405Total filings over 2 yrs
- 20.37%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.2%Peak (2016)
- 218Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 12.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 9.5%No health insurance
- 18.3%Frequent mental distress
- 32.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lakeside
The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.7/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.6/10.
Cost burden runs 56% here against 47.8% across Henrico County. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 405 filings here across 2 tracked years.
Against the Henrico County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. Filings peaked in 2016 at 23.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 20.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200600?
Census tract 51087200600 in Lakeside scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200600?
Median gross rent is $1,296/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200600?
11.4% of residents in tract 51087200600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,738.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 50th, minority 54th, housing 21th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 405 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.37% of renter households, peaking at 23.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51087200600 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51087200600 compare to Lakeside overall?
Tract 51087200600 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeside at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeside; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lakeside
Top eight tracts in Lakeside ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related