Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally
Northfield Eviction Risk: Lower , Chamberlayne
Tract 51087200904 · Henrico County, VA · pop 6,016 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
How risky is the Northfield area of Chamberlayne for landlords? Census tract 51087200904 scores 5.6/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 59th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 89% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,414 monthly, set against $83,660 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 6% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units2,927
Renter share6.0%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$83,660
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chamberlayne and the region
Centroid at 37.6415, -77.4329 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northfield scores 2.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chamberlayne
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,414 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chamberlayne
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chamberlayne
1.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chamberlayne
2.4
How Northfield compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 91Total filings over 2 yrs
- 13.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.9%Peak (2016)
- 55Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.8%Food insecurity
- 9.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 13.7%Frequent mental distress
- 31.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northfield
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 3.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chamberlayne, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Henrico County average of 6.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 91 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 13.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.9% of renter households in 2016.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200904
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200904?
Census tract 51087200904 in the Northfield neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200904?
Median gross rent is $1,414/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 89% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200904?
3.0% of residents in tract 51087200904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,016.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200904?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 15th, minority 76th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200904 considered part of Northfield?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200904 fall within Northfield (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200904?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 91 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200904 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.95% of renter households, peaking at 17.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087200904 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087200904 compare to Chamberlayne overall?
Tract 51087200904 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Chamberlayne at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chamberlayne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chamberlayne
Top eight tracts in Chamberlayne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related