Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
East Highland Park Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51087201002 · Henrico County, VA · pop 3,238 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
In the East Highland Park area of East Highland Park, census tract 51087201002 scores 7.1/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 95% of US census tracts.
About 66% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,323 monthly, set against $53,219 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,250
Renter share43.6%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate21.0%
Median income$53,219
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Highland Park and the region
Centroid at 37.5726, -77.4043 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Highland Park scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Highland Park
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
21.0% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,323 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Highland Park
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Highland Park
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Highland Park
7.4
How East Highland Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 23%Grade C
- 4%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 463Total filings over 2 yrs
- 51.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 57.1%Peak (2016)
- 240Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.0%Housing insecurity
- 16.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.8%Food insecurity
- 27.7%SNAP enrollment
- 14.4%Transit barriers
- 10.8%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 39.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Highland Park
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East Highland Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 463 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 51.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 57.1% of renter households in 2016.
Part of this tract, about 4% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087201002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087201002?
Census tract 51087201002 in the East Highland Park neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087201002?
Median gross rent is $1,323/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087201002?
21.0% of residents in tract 51087201002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,238.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087201002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 67th, minority 87th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 51087201002 considered part of East Highland Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087201002 fall within East Highland Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087201002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 463 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087201002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 51.47% of renter households, peaking at 57.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087201002 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087201002 compare to East Highland Park overall?
Tract 51087201002 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of East Highland Park at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Highland Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51087201002 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Highland Park
Top eight tracts in East Highland Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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