Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Oak Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , East Highland Park
Tract 51087201003 · Henrico County, VA · pop 6,674 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 51087201003 covers the Oak Hill neighborhood of East Highland Park in Virginia. Home to 6,674 residents, it scores $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 94th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 75% of renter households, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,197 a month while the average household earns $73,633 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 30% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,799
Renter share29.9%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate17.8%
Median income$73,633
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Highland Park and the region
Centroid at 37.5604, -77.3931 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oak Hill scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Highland Park
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
17.8% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,197 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Highland Park
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Highland Park
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Highland Park
7.4
How Oak Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 8%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 421Total filings over 2 yrs
- 34.42%Avg annual filing rate
- 33.2%Peak (2016)
- 217Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.0%Housing insecurity
- 14.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.4%Food insecurity
- 23.4%SNAP enrollment
- 12.8%Transit barriers
- 9.5%No health insurance
- 17.6%Frequent mental distress
- 37.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oak Hill
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East Highland Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 421 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 34.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 33.2% of renter households in 2016.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 8% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087201003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087201003?
Census tract 51087201003 in the Oak Hill neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087201003?
Median gross rent is $1,197/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087201003?
17.8% of residents in tract 51087201003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,674.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087201003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 43th, minority 96th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 51087201003 considered part of Oak Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087201003 fall within Oak Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087201003?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 421 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087201003 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.42% of renter households, peaking at 33.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087201003 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087201003 compare to East Highland Park overall?
Tract 51087201003 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of East Highland Park at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Highland Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51087201003 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 8% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Highland Park
Top eight tracts in East Highland Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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