Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally
Hechler Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Highland Springs
Tract 51087201405 · Henrico County, VA · pop 2,393 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
How risky is Hechler Village in Highland Springs for landlords? Census tract 51087201405 scores 5.7/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 63% of US census tracts.
87% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,205 a month while the average household earns $46,926 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 5% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,042
Renter share4.5%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$46,926
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
National
37
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Highland Springs and the region
Centroid at 37.5385, -77.3584 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hechler Village scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Highland Springs
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,205 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Highland Springs
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Highland Springs
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Highland Springs
5.0
How Hechler Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Hechler Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.2%Housing insecurity
- 19.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.2%Food insecurity
- 35.5%SNAP enrollment
- 16.2%Transit barriers
- 10.8%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 44.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hechler Village
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Highland Springs, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 24.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087201405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087201405?
Census tract 51087201405 in the Hechler Village neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087201405?
Median gross rent is $1,205/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 87% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087201405?
5.9% of residents in tract 51087201405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,393.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087201405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 29th, minority 99th, housing 1th.
Q5
Is tract 51087201405 considered part of Hechler Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087201405 fall within Hechler Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51087201405 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51087201405 compare to Highland Springs overall?
Tract 51087201405 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Highland Springs at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Highland Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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