Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Hechler Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Highland Springs
Tract 51087201206 · Henrico County, VA · pop 2,470 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 5.5/10, tract 51087201206 in the Hechler Village neighborhood of Highland Springs ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,470 residents. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 22% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $932 monthly, set against $63,843 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,053
Renter share27.1%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$63,843
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Highland Springs and the region
Centroid at 37.5442, -77.3472 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hechler Village scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$932 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Highland Springs
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.7
How Hechler Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Hechler Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.9%Housing insecurity
- 17.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.3%Food insecurity
- 26.8%SNAP enrollment
- 14.3%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 36.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hechler Village
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Highland Springs, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Henrico County average of 6.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 23.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087201206
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087201206?
Census tract 51087201206 in the Hechler Village neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087201206?
Median gross rent is $932/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087201206?
11.2% of residents in tract 51087201206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,470.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087201206?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 83th, minority 96th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 51087201206 considered part of Hechler Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087201206 fall within Hechler Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51087201206 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51087201206 compare to Highland Springs overall?
Tract 51087201206 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Highland Springs at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Highland Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Highland Springs
Top eight tracts in Highland Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related