Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Virginia Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sandston
Tract 51087201406 · Henrico County, VA · pop 3,865 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Census tract 51087201406 sits in the Virginia Heights area of Sandston, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 63% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,198 a month against an average household income of $44,282 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 69% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,669
Renter share69.4%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$44,282
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sandston and the region
Centroid at 37.5204, -77.3462 · click any tract to drill in
Why Virginia Heights scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sandston
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,198 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sandston
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sandston
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sandston
6.2
How Virginia Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.5%Housing insecurity
- 13.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.5%Food insecurity
- 22.8%SNAP enrollment
- 12.8%Transit barriers
- 11.7%No health insurance
- 19.2%Frequent mental distress
- 38.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Virginia Heights
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sandston, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 20.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087201406
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087201406?
Census tract 51087201406 in the Virginia Heights neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087201406?
Median gross rent is $1,198/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087201406?
15.6% of residents in tract 51087201406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,865.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087201406?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 80th, minority 85th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 51087201406 considered part of Virginia Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087201406 fall within Virginia Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51087201406 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51087201406 compare to Sandston overall?
Tract 51087201406 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Sandston at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sandston; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sandston
Top eight tracts in Sandston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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