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Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Windsor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sandston

Tract 51087201404 · Henrico County, VA · pop 4,649 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 51087201404 covers part of the Windsor area of Sandston, VA, and scores 4.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,649 residents. Cost burden runs 27% here against 47.8% across Henrico County.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 17% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,836
Renter share23.4%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$84,861

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Windsor
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Sandston
Low
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#43 of 85 tracts In Henrico County
Moderate
Within state
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#977 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sandston and the region

Centroid at 37.4966, -77.2388 · click any tract to drill in

Why Windsor scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sandston
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,171 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sandston
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sandston
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sandston
6.2

How Windsor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Windsor risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 2014044.2Sandstonparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 278Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 37.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 35.5%Peak (2015)
  • 131Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Windsor

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.7/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.6/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 278 filings here across 2 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2015 at 35.5% of renter households.

In a typical year about 37.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Against average income of $84,861, annual rent is just 17%. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Henrico County average of 4.3 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,171, close to the Sandston average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087201404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087201404?

Census tract 51087201404 in the Windsor neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51087201404?

Median gross rent is $1,171/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087201404?

6.4% of residents in tract 51087201404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,649.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087201404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 63th, minority 40th, housing 31th.
Q5

Is tract 51087201404 considered part of Windsor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087201404 fall within Windsor (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087201404?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 278 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087201404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 37.91% of renter households, peaking at 35.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51087201404 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51087201404 compare to Sandston overall?

Tract 51087201404 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Sandston at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sandston; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sandston

Top eight tracts in Sandston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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