Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Cedar Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Belmont
Tract 51107611012 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 4,578 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 3.5/10, tract 51107611012 in the Cedar Ridge area of Belmont, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,291
Renter share4.7%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$241,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Belmont and the region
Centroid at 39.0656, -77.4985 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cedar Ridge scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Belmont
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Belmont
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Belmont
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Belmont
3.0
How Cedar Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.5%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.0%Food insecurity
- 3.4%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 12.0%Frequent mental distress
- 19.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cedar Ridge
The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.
Average gross rent is $3,501, 24% above the Belmont average. Disability prevalence runs 19.4% against 31.5% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10.
Housing insecurity runs 5.5% against 14.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 1.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $241,250, annual rent is just 17%.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611012
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611012?
Census tract 51107611012 in the Cedar Ridge neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107611012?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611012?
1.4% of residents in tract 51107611012 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,578.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611012?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 43th, minority 60th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 51107611012 considered part of Cedar Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611012 fall within Cedar Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51107611012 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51107611012 compare to Belmont overall?
Tract 51107611012 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Belmont at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Belmont; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Belmont
Top eight tracts in Belmont ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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