Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Lester Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , Christiansburg
Tract 51121020802 · Montgomery County, VA · pop 2,386 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 51121020802 in Lester Place in Christiansburg ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,386 residents. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $892 monthly, set against $55,564 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,132
Renter share53.9%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate15.0%
Median income$55,564
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
55
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Christiansburg and the region
Centroid at 37.1344, -80.4027 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lester Place scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Christiansburg
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
15.0% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$892 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Christiansburg
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Christiansburg
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Christiansburg
5.2
How Lester Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.5%Housing insecurity
- 8.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.5%Food insecurity
- 14.6%SNAP enrollment
- 9.1%Transit barriers
- 9.6%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 32.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lester Place
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Christiansburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Montgomery County average of 6.0 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51121020802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51121020802?
Census tract 51121020802 in the Lester Place neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51121020802?
Median gross rent is $892/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51121020802?
15.0% of residents in tract 51121020802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,386.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51121020802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 42th, minority 15th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 51121020802 considered part of Lester Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51121020802 fall within Lester Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51121020802 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51121020802 compare to Christiansburg overall?
Tract 51121020802 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Christiansburg at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Christiansburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Christiansburg
Top eight tracts in Christiansburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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