Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Chamberlain Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Quantico Base
Tract 51153901101 · Prince William County, VA · pop 2,290 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 51153901101 sits in the Chamberlain Village area of Quantico Base, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. Population here is 2,290. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.9/10.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 59%
Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units672
Renter share92.1%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$64,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Quantico Base and the region
Centroid at 38.5287, -77.3007 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chamberlain Village scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Quantico Base
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,652 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Quantico Base
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Quantico Base
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Quantico Base
6.5
How Chamberlain Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.3%Food insecurity
- 11.1%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 19.8%Frequent mental distress
- 28.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chamberlain Village
This is renter territory: 92% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.1/10. At $1,652 a month, rents run 35% under what the rest of Quantico Base commands.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. Against the Prince William County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Cost burden runs 36% here against 43.3% across Prince William County.
The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51153901101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901101?
Census tract 51153901101 in the Chamberlain Village neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51153901101?
Median gross rent is $1,652/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901101?
16.9% of residents in tract 51153901101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,290.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 4th, minority 64th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 51153901101 considered part of Chamberlain Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51153901101 fall within Chamberlain Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51153901101 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51153901101 compare to Quantico Base overall?
Tract 51153901101 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Quantico Base at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Quantico Base; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Quantico Base
Top eight tracts in Quantico Base ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related