Prince William County, Virginia Eviction Risk: Moderate
21 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of Dale City (5.9) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.
Ranked #46 of 132 VA counties
405k residents · 21 cities · 93 tracts
Prince William County eviction risk score history
Key metrics
-
Tenant beats landlord26.1%/ 100 outcomesIn court-decided eviction outcomes for Prince William County, VA, tenants prevail in roughly 26.1% of contested cases. A higher number means landlords face stronger tenant defenses and longer calendars.
-
Timeline53dfiling → judgmentFrom the moment an unlawful-detainer notice is filed in Prince William County, VA until a money judgment is entered, a contested eviction takes about 53 days on average. Longer timelines mean more lost rent for landlords.
-
Cost range$2.0–5.7klegal + lost rentA typical eviction in Prince William County, VA costs landlords $1,979 to $5,694 all-in, covering court filing fees, process-server costs, attorney time, and lost rent.
-
Average rent$2,12031% stretched on rentAverage gross rent in Prince William County, VA is $2,120 per month per the U.S. Census American Community Survey. 31% of renter households here spend more than 30% of pre-tax income on rent.
-
Renters27.6%of households27.6% of occupied housing units in Prince William County, VA are renter-occupied. A higher renter share usually correlates with more eviction filings and a more active rental market.
-
Poverty6.4%4.7% unemp.6.4% of Prince William County, VA residents live below the federal poverty line, and unemployment runs at 4.7%. Both feed the economic-stress sub-score in our Eviction Risk Score model.
Scrub 50 years
Prince William County averages 4.1/10 across 21 cities, with scores ranging from a low of 3.4 to a high of 5.7, the peak set by Woodbridge. The county ranks 42 of 132 Virginia counties for eviction risk.
How Prince William County ranks in Virginia
Landlord guides for Virginia
| City↕ | Population↕ | Risk↕ | % income on rent↕ | Average rent↕ | Lean↕ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | Dale City | 71,016 | 3.4 | 32.6% | $1,876 | Dem |
| 002 | Lake Ridge | 46,049 | 4.0 | 27.0% | $2,033 | Dem |
| 003 | Woodbridge | 43,945 | 5.9 | 28.9% | $2,101 | Dem |
| 004 | Linton Hall | 41,876 | 3.6 | 25.0% | $2,575 | Dem |
| 005 | Cherry Hill | 26,044 | 4.4 | 36.9% | $1,931 | Dem |
| 006 | Montclair | 22,387 | 3.9 | 27.7% | $2,366 | Dem |
| 007 | Leesylvania | 21,632 | 4.2 | 28.3% | $2,289 | Dem |
| 008 | Buckhall | 21,602 | 4.0 | 26.5% | $2,478 | Dem |
| 009 | Sudley | 19,162 | 4.5 | 33.6% | $2,139 | Dem |
| 010 | Gainesville | 18,196 | 3.8 | 31.7% | $2,283 | Dem |
| 011 | Bull Run | 16,688 | 3.6 | 50.6% | $1,907 | Dem |
| 012 | Independent Hill | 10,853 | 3.4 | 25.6% | $2,295 | Dem |
| 013 | Triangle | 10,450 | 4.3 | 31.9% | $1,554 | Dem |
| 014 | Yorkshire | 9,782 | 4.0 | 20.3% | $1,777 | Dem |
| 015 | Quantico Base | 5,840 | 4.1 | 37.2% | $2,529 | Dem |
| 016 | Dumfries | 5,816 | 4.0 | 26.5% | $1,732 | Dem |
| 017 | Potomac Mills | 5,741 | 4.4 | 51.0% | $1,956 | Dem |
| 018 | Loch Lomond | 4,606 | 4.0 | 29.4% | $2,161 | Dem |
| 019 | Haymarket | 1,580 | 3.7 | 31.8% | $2,259 | Dem |
| 020 | Nokesville | 1,226 | 4.0 | 28.9% | $1,477 | Dem |
| 021 | Catlett | 290 | 3.2 | 27.3% | $2,352 | Dem |
County heatmap
Neighborhoods in Prince William County
Top 10 neighborhoods by population. Click for a pop-weighted risk score and the constituent census tracts.
One county, multiple regulatory regimes.
Prince William County carries a county-average eviction risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate) across its 21 cities, placing it in the higher-risk third of Virginia: 41 of the state's 132 counties score worse, and 90 score better. For landlords and investors, that middle positioning matters less than the intra-county spread. Individual city scores range from 3.4 to 5.7, meaning a landlord's operating reality depends heavily on the specific submarket they choose, not just the county headline.
Context sharpens the picture. Average rent in Prince William County runs $2,130 per month, and renters represent only 26.1% of households, a relatively low renter share that limits pool depth but also tends to reduce tenant-turnover volatility. The average rent burden sits at 29.8% of income, and the poverty rate is a low 6.1%, both of which provide some cushion against mass nonpayment events. Nonetheless, the score reflects real exposure that warrants careful city-level underwriting before committing capital.
The cities inside Prince William County
Woodbridge is the county's highest-risk city at 5.9/10 and is also its third-largest, with a population of 43,945. Yorkshire and Quantico Base both score 5.6, followed by Leesylvania (5.4, population 21,632), Triangle (5.4), and Dumfries (5.4). Investors concentrating portfolios in Woodbridge eviction risk or Leesylvania eviction risk should price in more aggressive rent reserves and tighter tenant screening than the county average alone would suggest.
The lower end of the risk spectrum offers considerably more favorable conditions. Dale City, the county's largest community at 71,016 residents, scores just 3.4/10, and Linton Hall (population 41,876) comes in at 4.8. Buckhall scores 4.9. Risk inside Prince William County is genuinely hyper-local: the gap between the highest and lowest city scores is 2.3 points, which is wide enough to shift a property from the moderate tier to meaningfully different operating conditions.
State-level laws that apply here
Virginia state law governs every tenancy in the county under Va. Code § 55.1-1200 et seq. (Virginia Residential Landlord and Tenant Act). For nonpayment of rent, landlords must serve a 5-day notice before filing. A material lease violation triggers a 21-day cure-or-quit notice, while a material non-curable breach or the end of a month-to-month tenancy each require 30 days. Court filing fees run $58 to $90, sheriff lockout fees add $40 to $150, and attorney fees for a contested matter typically range from $500 to $3,000. Uncontested cases generally resolve in 21 to 45 days; contested proceedings can stretch 45 to 120 days. Understanding the full Virginia eviction process, including those timelines, is essential for forecasting carrying costs on a non-performing unit. Virginia also preempts local rent control entirely, so no Prince William city can impose rent caps, and just-cause eviction is not required statewide. For a breakdown of what enforcement actually costs, see Virginia eviction costs before finalizing any deal underwriting.
With a poverty rate of 6.1% and renters making up 26.1% of households, Prince William County's macroeconomic fundamentals are relatively stable, but the city grid above shows that operating risk varies sharply by submarket and deserves individual review.
Eviction filings in Virginia
The Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System covers Virginia statewide (no county-level tracker available for Prince William County). In the past month, 10,534 statewide filings were recorded, 1.07× the historical baseline (near baseline).
- 10,534Past month (state)
- 139,873Past 12 months
- 1.02×vs baseline (12 mo)
Eviction filings in Prince William County
In September 2025, 476 eviction filings were recorded in Prince William County, 94.2% of the historical average (near average).2
- 476Sep 2025
- 94.2%of historical avg
- 39,608Renter households
- 6.1%Poverty rate
Historical eviction filings in Prince William County
From 2010 to 2016, eviction filings in Prince William County declined 19%. The peak was 6,567 filings in 2010.3
- 6,5672010
- 6,567Peak (2010)
- 5,2892016
Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.
How Prince William County compares
Prince William County's eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 sits in the middle of its Virginia peers. It runs slightly below Newport News city at 4.1/10 and Roanoke city at 4.1/10, and slightly above Arlington County at 4.1/10 and both Fairfax County and Virginia Beach city at 4.1/10.
Across Virginia, Prince William County ranks 42 of 132 counties for eviction risk, placing it in the upper third of the state, where a higher rank reflects greater eviction pressure.