Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Arlington Eviction Risk: Moderate , Hopewell
Tract 51670820700 · Hopewell city, VA · pop 2,908 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
51670820700 is a census tract in the Arlington area of Hopewell, VA. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,908 residents. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,173
Renter share71.8%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate34.4%
Median income$39,411
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hopewell and the region
Centroid at 37.2830, -77.2893 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arlington scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Hopewell
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
34.4% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$1,117 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hopewell
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hopewell
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hopewell
8.6
How Arlington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 668Total filings over 6 yrs
- 18.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 27.3%Peak (2010)
- 84Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 33.1%Housing insecurity
- 25.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 44.3%Food insecurity
- 47.9%SNAP enrollment
- 22.4%Transit barriers
- 16.8%No health insurance
- 23.3%Frequent mental distress
- 47.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arlington
Food insecurity runs 44.3% against 17.8% nationally. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Housing insecurity runs 33.1% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.7/10. Set annual rent against average income of $39,411 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.7/10. around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Hopewell City average of 61.3%.
The filing record is not thin: 668 evictions over 6 years of observation. Against the Hopewell City average of 4.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51670820700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51670820700?
Census tract 51670820700 in the Arlington neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51670820700?
Median gross rent is $1,117/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51670820700?
34.4% of residents in tract 51670820700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,908.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51670820700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 87th, minority 84th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 51670820700 considered part of Arlington?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51670820700 fall within Arlington (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51670820700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 668 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51670820700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.98% of renter households, peaking at 27.3% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51670820700 struggle to pay rent?
About 33.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51670820700 compare to Hopewell overall?
Tract 51670820700 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Hopewell at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hopewell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hopewell
Top eight tracts in Hopewell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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