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Neighborhood · Hopewell, VA

Arlington Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,908 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 5.6–5.6

Arlington is a one-tract neighborhood of Hopewell, VA, population 2,908. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.6/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 40% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Against a Hopewell baseline of 31.7%, 69% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. SNAP participation is 47.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 44.3% of adults, 26.5 points above the national rate.

The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 8.7/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 8.6/10. Court records for this tract carry 668 eviction filings. Filing activity peaked in 2010 at 27.3% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 11.5% in 2016, is well off that peak.

One tract means one number: 5.6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Arlington vs Hopewell How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
69.0% +118%
Hopewell: 31.7%
Average gross rent
$1,117 +1%
Hopewell: $1,106
Average HH income
$39,411 -19%
Hopewell: $48,681
Poverty rate
34.4% +45%
Hopewell: 23.8%
Renter share
71.8% +71%
Hopewell: 42.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.6–5.6

Why Arlington scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Rent control risk
69% of income on rent · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
72% renter households · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Economic stress
34.4% below poverty line · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Risk score comparison

Arlington vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Arlington score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.6ArlingtonNeighborhood4.5Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Arlington

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51670820700 5.6 2,908 69% $1,117
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 82

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 92%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 87%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 84%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 33%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Arlington

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 668Total filings (sum)
  • 18.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.3%Peak year (2010)
  • 11.54%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Arlington

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Arlington

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Arlington?

Arlington scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Arlington compare to Hopewell overall?

Arlington scores 1.1 points higher than Hopewell overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 69% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,117 vs $1,106.
Q3

What is the average rent in Arlington?

Average gross rent in Arlington eviction risk is $1,117/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Arlington residents are renters?

72% of Arlington households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Hopewell). The neighborhood has 2,908 residents.
Q5

Is Arlington a high social-vulnerability area?

Arlington sits in the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Arlington for landlords?

Arlington eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Hopewell as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Arlington?

Arlington has 2,822 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (63.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (18.7%), Hispanic / Latino (11.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Arlington

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Hopewell

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Arlington.

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