Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Richneck Eviction Risk: Lower , Newport News
Tract 51700032124 · Newport News city, VA · pop 3,752 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 51700032124 in Richneck in Newport News ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,752 residents. That is riskier than roughly 48% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
35% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,180 a month against an average household income of $75,285 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 54% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,665
Renter share54.5%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$75,285
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
35
th percentile
Low
Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.1580, -76.5321 · click any tract to drill in
Why Richneck scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,180 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Richneck compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,755Total filings over 5 yrs
- 49.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 68.6%Peak (2013)
- 188Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Richneck. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.7%Housing insecurity
- 10.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.2%Food insecurity
- 15.9%SNAP enrollment
- 10.3%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Richneck
What moves this score most is housing court bias at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newport News eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Newport News City County average of 5.8 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,755 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 49.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 68.6% of renter households in 2013.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700032124
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032124?
Census tract 51700032124 in the Richneck neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700032124?
Median gross rent is $1,180/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032124?
10.1% of residents in tract 51700032124 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,752.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032124?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 12th, minority 80th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 51700032124 considered part of Richneck?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032124 fall within Richneck (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700032124?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,755 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700032124 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 49.52% of renter households, peaking at 68.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700032124 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700032124 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700032124 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Newport News at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North End
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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