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Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally

Richneck Eviction Risk: Lower , Newport News

Tract 51700032131 · Newport News city, VA · pop 4,710 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 51700032131 covers the Richneck neighborhood of Newport News, home to 4,710 residents. For landlords it grades 5.7/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 63rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,569 a month against an average household income of $99,944 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 18% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 8% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,807
Renter share18.3%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$99,944

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Richneck
Very Low
Within parent city
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 47 tracts In Newport News
Very Low
Within county
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 47 tracts In Newport News city
Very Low
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#997 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newport News and the region

Centroid at 37.1599, -76.5140 · click any tract to drill in

Why Richneck scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,569 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5

How Richneck compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Richneck risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 032131Newport News: 4.34.3Newport Newsparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 263Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 19.47%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.1%Peak (2012)
  • 48Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 517000321312012: 58 filings (22.14/100 renter HHs)2013: 54 filings (20.61/100 renter HHs)2014: 58 filings (22.14/100 renter HHs)2015: 45 filings (17.18/100 renter HHs)2016: 48 filings (15.29/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Richneck. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Richneck

The heaviest input here is housing court bias at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newport News eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Newport News City County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 263 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 19.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 22.1% of renter households in 2012.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51700032131

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032131?

Census tract 51700032131 in the Richneck neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51700032131?

Median gross rent is $1,569/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032131?

4.0% of residents in tract 51700032131 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,710.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032131?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 62th, minority 74th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 51700032131 considered part of Richneck?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032131 fall within Richneck (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700032131?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 263 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700032131 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.47% of renter households, peaking at 22.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51700032131 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51700032131 compare to Newport News overall?

Tract 51700032131 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Newport News at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newport News

Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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