Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally
Village Green Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News
Tract 51700032126 · Newport News city, VA · pop 4,564 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51700032126 (the Village Green neighborhood of Newport News, Virginia) comes in at 6.8/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,489 a month while the average household earns $46,216 a year, roughly 39% of income at the averages. Renters make up 70% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,802
Renter share69.9%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate43.5%
Median income$46,216
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.1078, -76.4991 · click any tract to drill in
Why Village Green scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
43.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,489 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Village Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,821Total filings over 5 yrs
- 45.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 53.9%Peak (2012)
- 362Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Village Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.1%Housing insecurity
- 18.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.8%Food insecurity
- 32.8%SNAP enrollment
- 17.7%Transit barriers
- 19.9%No health insurance
- 22.2%Frequent mental distress
- 38.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Village Green
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newport News eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Newport News City County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,821 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 45.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 53.9% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700032126
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032126?
Census tract 51700032126 in the Village Green neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700032126?
Median gross rent is $1,489/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032126?
43.5% of residents in tract 51700032126 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,564.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032126?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 97th, minority 82th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 51700032126 considered part of Village Green?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032126 fall within Village Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700032126?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,821 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700032126 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 45.84% of renter households, peaking at 53.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700032126 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700032126 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700032126 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North End
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Beechmont
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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