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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Village Green Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News

Tract 51700032126 · Newport News city, VA · pop 4,564 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

51700032126 is a census tract in the Village Green area of Newport News, VA. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,564 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 34% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,802
Renter share69.9%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate43.5%
Median income$46,216

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Village Green
Very High
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 47 tracts In Newport News
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 47 tracts In Newport News city
Very High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#302 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newport News and the region

Centroid at 37.1078, -76.4991 · click any tract to drill in

Why Village Green scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
43.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,489 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5

How Village Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Village Green risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0321264.0Newport Newsparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,821Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 45.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 53.9%Peak (2012)
  • 362Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51700032126
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Village Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Village Green

The poverty rate is 44%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.8/10. Set annual rent against average income of $46,216 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Food insecurity runs 33.8% against 17.8% nationally. 70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.3 points above the Newport News City average of 4.1.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The filing record is not thin: 1,821 evictions over 5 years of observation. At $1,489 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Newport News commands.

The worst year on record was 2012, when 53.9% of renter households were served.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51700032126

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032126?

Census tract 51700032126 in the Village Green neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51700032126?

Median gross rent is $1,489/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032126?

43.5% of residents in tract 51700032126 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,564.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032126?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 97th, minority 82th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 51700032126 considered part of Village Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032126 fall within Village Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700032126?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,821 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700032126 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 45.84% of renter households, peaking at 53.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51700032126 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51700032126 compare to Newport News overall?

Tract 51700032126 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newport News

Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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