Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
Village Green Eviction Risk: Lower , Newport News
Tract 51700032130 · Newport News city, VA · pop 5,454 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
How risky is the Village Green neighborhood of Newport News for landlords? Census tract 51700032130 scores 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #47,080 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 29% of renter households, a moderate level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,691 a month while the average household earns $105,254 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,231
Renter share26.7%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$105,254
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.1181, -76.4878 · click any tract to drill in
Why Village Green scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,691 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Village Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 555Total filings over 5 yrs
- 16.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.0%Peak (2014)
- 111Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 41% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Village Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.2%Food insecurity
- 7.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 26.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Village Green
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newport News eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Newport News City County average of 5.8 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 555 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 16.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.0% of renter households in 2014.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700032130
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032130?
Census tract 51700032130 in the Village Green neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700032130?
Median gross rent is $1,691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032130?
8.1% of residents in tract 51700032130 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,454.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032130?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 15th, minority 65th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 51700032130 considered part of Village Green?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032130 fall within Village Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700032130?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 555 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700032130 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.60% of renter households, peaking at 18.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700032130 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700032130 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700032130 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Newport News at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North End
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Related