Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Village Green Eviction Risk: Lower , Newport News
Tract 51700032130 · Newport News city, VA · pop 5,454 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 51700032130 in the Village Green area of Newport News, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,454. 29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Newport News City average of 49.3%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,231
Renter share26.7%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$105,254
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.1181, -76.4878 · click any tract to drill in
Why Village Green scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,691 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Village Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 555Total filings over 5 yrs
- 16.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.0%Peak (2014)
- 111Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 41% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Village Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.2%Food insecurity
- 7.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 26.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Village Green
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,691, 26% above the Newport News average.
Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, economic stress reads 2/10. Against the Newport News City average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points.
The filing record is not thin: 555 evictions over 5 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 18.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 16.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700032130
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032130?
Census tract 51700032130 in the Village Green neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700032130?
Median gross rent is $1,691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032130?
8.1% of residents in tract 51700032130 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,454.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032130?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 15th, minority 65th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 51700032130 considered part of Village Green?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032130 fall within Village Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700032130?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 555 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700032130 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.60% of renter households, peaking at 18.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700032130 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700032130 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700032130 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
North End
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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