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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Bernard Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News

Tract 51700032128 · Newport News city, VA · pop 4,277 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 51700032128, home to 4,277 residents in the Bernard Village area of Newport News, scores 5.9/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,352 a month while the average household earns $57,620 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 84% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 48% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units2,132
Renter share84.4%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$57,620

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Bernard Village
Very High
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 47 tracts In Newport News
Elevated
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 47 tracts In Newport News city
Elevated
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#230 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newport News and the region

Centroid at 37.0916, -76.4746 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bernard Village scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,352 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5

How Bernard Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bernard Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 032128Newport News: 4.34.3Newport Newsparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,496Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 41.52%Avg annual filing rate
  • 54.5%Peak (2013)
  • 370Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 517000321282012: 558 filings (48.69/100 renter HHs)2013: 625 filings (54.54/100 renter HHs)2014: 492 filings (42.93/100 renter HHs)2015: 451 filings (39.35/100 renter HHs)2016: 370 filings (22.09/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 34% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bernard Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bernard Village

What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newport News eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Newport News City County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,496 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 41.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 54.5% of renter households in 2013.

The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51700032128

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032128?

Census tract 51700032128 in the Bernard Village neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51700032128?

Median gross rent is $1,352/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032128?

20.7% of residents in tract 51700032128 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,277.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032128?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 37th, minority 73th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 51700032128 considered part of Bernard Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032128 fall within Bernard Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700032128?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,496 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700032128 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 41.52% of renter households, peaking at 54.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51700032128 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51700032128 compare to Newport News overall?

Tract 51700032128 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newport News

Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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