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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Bernard Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News

Tract 51700032128 · Newport News city, VA · pop 4,277 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 51700032128 sits in the Bernard Village area of Newport News eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. Population here is 4,277. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 48% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units2,132
Renter share84.4%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$57,620

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Bernard Village
Very High
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 47 tracts In Newport News
Elevated
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 47 tracts In Newport News city
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#545 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newport News and the region

Centroid at 37.0916, -76.4746 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bernard Village scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,352 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5

How Bernard Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bernard Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0321284.0Newport Newsparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,496Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 41.52%Avg annual filing rate
  • 54.5%Peak (2013)
  • 370Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51700032128
Filings dropped 34% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bernard Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bernard Village

This is renter territory: 84% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Against Newport News City at 49.3%, 43% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,496 filings here across 5 tracked years.

Against the Newport News City average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. Running cool, supply constraint reads 3/10. Filings peaked in 2013 at 54.5% of renter households.

In a typical year about 41.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51700032128

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032128?

Census tract 51700032128 in the Bernard Village neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51700032128?

Median gross rent is $1,352/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032128?

20.7% of residents in tract 51700032128 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,277.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032128?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 37th, minority 73th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 51700032128 considered part of Bernard Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032128 fall within Bernard Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700032128?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,496 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700032128 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 41.52% of renter households, peaking at 54.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51700032128 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51700032128 compare to Newport News overall?

Tract 51700032128 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newport News

Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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