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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Bernard Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News

Tract 51700032133 · Newport News city, VA · pop 1,784 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 51700032133 sits in the Bernard Village area of Newport News eviction risk, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,620 a month while the average household earns $55,385 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 96% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 52% Owners 4%
Tract context
Occupied units770
Renter share96.5%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate15.9%
Median income$55,385

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Bernard Village
Very Low
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#19 of 47 tracts In Newport News
Elevated
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 47 tracts In Newport News city
Elevated
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#317 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newport News and the region

Centroid at 37.0874, -76.4871 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bernard Village scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
15.9% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,620 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5

How Bernard Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bernard Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 032133Newport News: 4.34.3Newport Newsparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bernard Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bernard Village

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newport News eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Newport News City County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51700032133

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032133?

Census tract 51700032133 in the Bernard Village neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51700032133?

Median gross rent is $1,620/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032133?

15.9% of residents in tract 51700032133 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,784.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032133?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 9th, minority 74th, housing 43th.
Q5

Is tract 51700032133 considered part of Bernard Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032133 fall within Bernard Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51700032133 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51700032133 compare to Newport News overall?

Tract 51700032133 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newport News

Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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