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Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Larchmont Eviction Risk: Lower , Norfolk

Tract 51710002300 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 2,121 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 51710002300, home to 2,121 residents in the Larchmont neighborhood of Norfolk, scores 5.3/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #44,029 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

67% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,679 a month while the average household earns $104,728 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 9% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units913
Renter share28.8%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$104,728

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Larchmont
Moderate
Within parent city
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#65 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
Very Low
Within county
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#65 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
Very Low
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#705 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.8977, -76.2977 · click any tract to drill in

Why Larchmont scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,679 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Larchmont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Larchmont risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 002300Norfolk: 4.54.5Norfolkparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 24Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 3.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.9%Peak (2016)
  • 13Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Larchmont

The heaviest input here is housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710002300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710002300?

Census tract 51710002300 in the Larchmont neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710002300?

Median gross rent is $1,679/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710002300?

12.5% of residents in tract 51710002300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,121.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710002300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 34th, minority 30th, housing 12th.
Q5

Is tract 51710002300 considered part of Larchmont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710002300 fall within Larchmont (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710002300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 24 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710002300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.66% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710002300 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710002300 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710002300 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51710002300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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