Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Edgewater Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk
Tract 51710002500 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 5,106 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 5.5/10, tract 51710002500 in the Edgewater area of Norfolk, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 75% here against 50.4% across Norfolk City.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units774
Renter share73.5%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate37.6%
Median income$42,109
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.8822, -76.3068 · click any tract to drill in
Why Edgewater scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
37.6% poverty · this tract
9.4
Supply constraint
$1,460 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Edgewater compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 9%Grade C
- 63%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 281Total filings over 2 yrs
- 23.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.8%Peak (2011)
- 129Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Edgewater. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.3%Housing insecurity
- 14.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.9%Food insecurity
- 27.0%SNAP enrollment
- 20.0%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 26.9%Frequent mental distress
- 39.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Edgewater
Severe burden reaches 34%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.4/10.
Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $42,109, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This is renter territory: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Norfolk City average of 4.1.
Food insecurity runs 29.9% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 27.0% against 15.2% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 281 filings here across 2 tracked years.
Average gross rent is $1,460, 11% above the Norfolk average. Filings peaked in 2011 at 25.8% of renter households.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710002500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710002500?
Census tract 51710002500 in the Edgewater neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710002500?
Median gross rent is $1,460/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710002500?
37.6% of residents in tract 51710002500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,106.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710002500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 9th, minority 76th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 51710002500 considered part of Edgewater?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710002500 fall within Edgewater (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710002500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 281 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710002500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.89% of renter households, peaking at 25.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710002500 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710002500 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710002500 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710002500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 63% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Willard Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Denby Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Harbor Vista
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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