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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

North Jericho Eviction Risk: Moderate , Suffolk

Tract 51800065100 · Suffolk city, VA · pop 2,374 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 51800065100 in the North Jericho area of Suffolk, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,374. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.1/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 38% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units913
Renter share64.7%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate23.4%
Median income$39,227

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In North Jericho
Moderate
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 36 tracts In Suffolk
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 36 tracts In Suffolk city
Very High
Within state
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#589 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Suffolk and the region

Centroid at 36.7326, -76.5690 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Jericho scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Suffolk
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
23.4% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,028 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Suffolk
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Suffolk
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Suffolk
3.5

How North Jericho compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Jericho risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0651003.4Suffolkparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 816Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 25.56%Avg annual filing rate
  • 30.6%Peak (2014)
  • 141Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51800065100
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Jericho

At $1,028 a month, rents run 34% under what the rest of Suffolk commands. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Housing insecurity runs 30.1% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 23.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

It sits 1.2 points above the Suffolk City average of 3.6. 41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Suffolk City average of 46.8%. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.5/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 816 filings here across 6 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 30.6% of renter households.

In a typical year about 25.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51800065100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51800065100?

Census tract 51800065100 in the North Jericho neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51800065100?

Median gross rent is $1,028/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51800065100?

23.4% of residents in tract 51800065100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,374.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51800065100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 42th, minority 88th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 51800065100 considered part of North Jericho?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51800065100 fall within North Jericho (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51800065100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 816 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51800065100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.56% of renter households, peaking at 30.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51800065100 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51800065100 compare to Suffolk overall?

Tract 51800065100 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Suffolk at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Suffolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Suffolk

Top eight tracts in Suffolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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