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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

North Jericho Eviction Risk: Moderate , Suffolk

Tract 51800065100 · Suffolk city, VA · pop 2,374 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

North Jericho in Suffolk is where census tract 51800065100 sits, home to 2,374 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.6/10. On the national scale it ranks #63,686 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,028 a month against an average household income of $39,227 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 65% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 38% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units913
Renter share64.7%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate23.4%
Median income$39,227

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In North Jericho
Moderate
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 36 tracts In Suffolk
Very High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 36 tracts In Suffolk city
Very High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#317 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Suffolk and the region

Centroid at 36.7326, -76.5690 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Jericho scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Suffolk
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
23.4% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,028 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Suffolk
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Suffolk
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Suffolk
3.5

How North Jericho compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Jericho risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 065100Suffolk: 3.83.8Suffolkparent cityCounty: 2.92.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 816Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 25.56%Avg annual filing rate
  • 30.6%Peak (2014)
  • 141Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 518000651002011: 138 filings (26.19/100 renter HHs)2012: 125 filings (23.72/100 renter HHs)2013: 129 filings (24.48/100 renter HHs)2014: 161 filings (30.55/100 renter HHs)2015: 122 filings (23.15/100 renter HHs)2016: 141 filings (25.27/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Jericho

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Suffolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Suffolk City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 30.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 23.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51800065100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51800065100?

Census tract 51800065100 in the North Jericho neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51800065100?

Median gross rent is $1,028/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51800065100?

23.4% of residents in tract 51800065100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,374.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51800065100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 42th, minority 88th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 51800065100 considered part of North Jericho?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51800065100 fall within North Jericho (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51800065100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 816 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51800065100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.56% of renter households, peaking at 30.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51800065100 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51800065100 compare to Suffolk overall?

Tract 51800065100 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Suffolk at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Suffolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Suffolk

Top eight tracts in Suffolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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