Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Eastover Eviction Risk: Moderate , Suffolk
Tract 51800065200 ·
Suffolk city, VA · pop 2,073 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 51800065200 covers part of the Eastover area of Suffolk, VA, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,073. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%Stable renters 18%Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units949
Renter share35.2%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$72,188
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Eastover
Moderate
Within parent city
69th percentile
#12 of 36 tracts In Suffolk
Elevated
Within county
69th percentile
#12 of 36 tracts In Suffolk city
Elevated
Within state
58th percentile
#919 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Suffolk and the region
Centroid at 36.7386, -76.5813 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eastover scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Suffolk
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,184 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Suffolk
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Suffolk
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Suffolk
3.5
How Eastover compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
68%Socioeconomic
27%Household composition
53%Racial/ethnic minority
39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
270Total filings over 6 yrs
14.76%Avg annual filing rate
18.9%Peak (2013)
36Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2011 to 2016
Filings dropped 22% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.1%Housing insecurity
8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
14.7%Food insecurity
12.9%SNAP enrollment
8.2%Transit barriers
8.7%No health insurance
16.5%Frequent mental distress
34.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eastover
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $1,184, 24% below the Suffolk average.
Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.5/10. Court records carry 270 eviction filings across 6 observed years.
Against the Suffolk City average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points. The worst year on record was 2013, when 18.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 14.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 5.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. 49% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51800065200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51800065200?
Census tract 51800065200 in the Eastover neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51800065200?
Median gross rent is $1,184/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51800065200?
13.1% of residents in tract 51800065200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,073.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51800065200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 27th, minority 53th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 51800065200 considered part of Eastover?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51800065200 fall within Eastover (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51800065200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 270 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51800065200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.76% of renter households, peaking at 18.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51800065200 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51800065200 compare to Suffolk overall?
Tract 51800065200 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Suffolk at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Suffolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Suffolk
Top eight tracts in Suffolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.