Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
River Shores Eviction Risk: Lower , Suffolk
Tract 51800075106 ·
Suffolk city, VA · pop 5,638 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 51800075106 sits in the River Shores area of Suffolk eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 5,638. Cost burden runs 65% here against 46.8% across Suffolk City.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%Stable renters 7%Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,799
Renter share20.1%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$122,599
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In River Shores
Moderate
Within parent city
31th percentile
#25 of 36 tracts In Suffolk
Low
Within county
29th percentile
#26 of 36 tracts In Suffolk city
Low
Within state
18th percentile
#1,798 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Suffolk and the region
Centroid at 36.8985, -76.4145 · click any tract to drill in
Why River Shores scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Suffolk
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,195 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Suffolk
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Suffolk
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Suffolk
3.5
How River Shores compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
41%Socioeconomic
17%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
13%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.6%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
14.5%Food insecurity
12.0%SNAP enrollment
8.4%Transit barriers
7.7%No health insurance
17.1%Frequent mental distress
27.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in River Shores
At $2,195 a month, rents run 40% over what the rest of Suffolk commands. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The voucher gap is 29.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 2/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.9/10. Against the Suffolk City average of 3.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.1/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $122,599.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51800075106
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51800075106?
Census tract 51800075106 in the River Shores neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51800075106?
Median gross rent is $2,195/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51800075106?
8.2% of residents in tract 51800075106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,638.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51800075106?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 17th, minority 65th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 51800075106 considered part of River Shores?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51800075106 fall within River Shores (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51800075106 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51800075106 compare to Suffolk overall?
Tract 51800075106 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Suffolk at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Suffolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Suffolk
Top eight tracts in Suffolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.