Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Chelan Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 53007960303 ·
Chelan County, WA · pop 1,798 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
53007960303 is a census tract in the Chelan Bay area of Chelan, WA. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,798. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%Stable renters 25%Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units748
Renter share34.8%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$74,310
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Chelan Bay
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#2 of 3 tracts In Chelan
Moderate
Within county
36th percentile
#15 of 23 tracts In Chelan County
Low
Within state
25th percentile
#1,327 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chelan and the region
Centroid at 47.8542, -120.0562 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chelan Bay scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chelan
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$879 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chelan
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chelan
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chelan
4.5
How Chelan Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
73%Socioeconomic
50%Household composition
39%Racial/ethnic minority
85%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chelan Bay
At $879 a month, rents run 36% under what the rest of Chelan commands. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.1/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.3/10. Against Chelan County at 32.8%, 27% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Chelan County average of 5.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.
On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $74,310, annual rent is just 14%. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 53007960303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53007960303?
Census tract 53007960303 in the Chelan Bay neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53007960303?
Median gross rent is $879/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53007960303?
7.5% of residents in tract 53007960303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,798.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53007960303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 50th, minority 39th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 53007960303 considered part of Chelan Bay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53007960303 fall within Chelan Bay (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 53007960303 compare to Chelan overall?
Tract 53007960303 scores 4.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Chelan at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chelan; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chelan
Top eight tracts in Chelan ranked by composite eviction-risk score.