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Neighborhood · Chelan, WA

Chelan Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 1,798 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 4.6–4.6

Chelan Bay is a one-tract neighborhood of Chelan, WA and houses 1,798 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.6/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Average gross rent is $879, 36% below the Chelan average of $1,368.

Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1/10. 27% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.9/10. Severe burden reaches 9%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Against average income of $74,310, annual rent is only 14%, a wide affordability cushion.

35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Chelan Bay vs Chelan How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
27.3% +12%
Chelan: 24.4%
Average gross rent
$879 -36%
Chelan: $1,368
Average HH income
$74,310 +3%
Chelan: $71,996
Poverty rate
7.5% -21%
Chelan: 9.5%
Renter share
34.8% -20%
Chelan: 43.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chelan Bay and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.6–4.6

Why Chelan Bay scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Rent control risk
27% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
35% renter households · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
7.5% below poverty line · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Chelan Bay vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Chelan Bay score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.6Chelan BayNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city6.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Chelan Bay

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
53007960303 4.6 1,798 27% $879
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 75

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 73%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 50%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 39%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 86%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Chelan Bay

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Chelan Bay?

Chelan Bay scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Chelan Bay compare to Chelan overall?

Chelan Bay scores 0.0 points higher than Chelan overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 27% of income on rent vs 24% citywide. Average rent: $879 vs $1,368.
Q3

What is the average rent in Chelan Bay?

Average gross rent in Chelan Bay is $879/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Chelan Bay residents are renters?

35% of Chelan Bay households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Chelan). The neighborhood has 1,798 residents.
Q5

Is Chelan Bay a high social-vulnerability area?

Chelan Bay sits in the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Chelan Bay for landlords?

Chelan Bay carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chelan as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Chelan Bay?

Chelan Bay has 1,926 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.7%), Hispanic / Latino (17.3%), Other / Multiracial (3.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Chelan Bay

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