Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Valley View Tracts Eviction Risk: Lower , Longview Heights
Tract 53015000802 ·
Cowlitz County, WA · pop 3,447 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 53015000802 sits in the Valley View Tracts area of Longview eviction risk Heights, WA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. Population here is 3,447. Cost burden runs 9% here against 40.6% across Cowlitz County.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%Stable renters 12%Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,394
Renter share13.6%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$86,495
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Valley View Tracts
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Longview Heights
Moderate
Within county
14th percentile
#26 of 30 tracts In Cowlitz County
Very Low
Within state
16th percentile
#1,495 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Longview Heights and the region
Centroid at 46.1783, -122.9680 · click any tract to drill in
Why Valley View Tracts scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Longview Heights
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,785 rent vs county FMR
7.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Longview Heights
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Longview Heights
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Longview Heights
5.8
How Valley View Tracts compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
20%Socioeconomic
49%Household composition
17%Racial/ethnic minority
19%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Valley View Tracts
Average gross rent is $1,785, 33% above the Longview Heights average. The voucher gap is 27.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.2/10.
It sits 1.6 points below the Cowlitz County average of 5.5. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.7/10. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.0 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $86,495.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 53015000802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53015000802?
Census tract 53015000802 in the Valley View Tracts neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53015000802?
Median gross rent is $1,785/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 9% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53015000802?
8.9% of residents in tract 53015000802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,447.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53015000802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 49th, minority 17th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 53015000802 considered part of Valley View Tracts?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53015000802 fall within Valley View Tracts (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 53015000802 compare to Longview Heights overall?
Tract 53015000802 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Longview Heights at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Longview eviction risk Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.