Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally
Montlake Eviction Risk: Elevated , Seattle
Tract 53033006200 ·
King County, WA · pop 4,201 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 7/10, tract 53033006200 in the Montlake area of Seattle, WA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,201. 14% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the King County average of 44.1%.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%Stable renters 7%Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,667
Renter share8.0%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Montlake
Moderate
Within parent city
18th percentile
#146 of 177 tracts In Seattle
Very Low
Within county
56th percentile
#216 of 494 tracts In King County
Elevated
Within state
73th percentile
#487 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seattle and the region
Centroid at 47.6391, -122.3012 · click any tract to drill in
Why Montlake scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seattle
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$3,368 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seattle
8.5
How Montlake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
5%Socioeconomic
16%Household composition
37%Racial/ethnic minority
19%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
39%Grade A
26%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
7Total filings over 4 yrs
0.86%Avg annual filing rate
1.7%Peak (2006)
1Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year2004 to 2013
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Montlake
Average gross rent is $3,368, 66% above the Seattle average. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9.5/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. The voucher gap is 26.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Disability prevalence runs 17.6% against 31.5% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 7 evictions over 4 years of observation. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.8% against 11.3% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2006, when 1.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Seattle. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 0.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 53033006200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033006200?
Census tract 53033006200 in the Montlake neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53033006200?
Median gross rent is $3,368/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53033006200?
5.0% of residents in tract 53033006200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,201.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53033006200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 16th, minority 37th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 53033006200 considered part of Montlake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033006200 fall within Montlake (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53033006200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 53033006200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.86% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53033006200 compare to Seattle overall?
Tract 53033006200 scores 7/10, lower than the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 53033006200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Seattle
Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.