Neighborhood · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally

South Lake Union Eviction Risk: High , Seattle

Tract 53033007403 · King County, WA · pop 2,793 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 53033007403 covers part of the South Lake Union area of Seattle, WA, and scores 8.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,793 residents. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9.5/10.

Risk score

8.3

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 59% Owners 10%

Tract context

Occupied units2,018

Renter share90.1%

SVI overall0.20

Poverty rate10.6%

Median income$104,342

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Seattle and the region

Centroid at 47.6229, -122.3227 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Lake Union scores 8.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Seattle

9.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.6

State political climate

Washington legislature & governorship

6.0

Economic stress

10.6% poverty · this tract

2.7

Supply constraint

$2,110 rent vs county FMR

2.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Seattle

9.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Seattle

9.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Seattle

8.5

How South Lake Union compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

36%Socioeconomic
0%Household composition
53%Racial/ethnic minority
66%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
100%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Lake Union. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Lake Union

90% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Disability prevalence runs 15.5% against 31.5% nationally.

Against King County at 44.1%, 35% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.6 points above the King County average of 6.7.

The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 2.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $2,110, close to the Seattle average.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $104,342.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 53033007403

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033007403?

Census tract 53033007403 in the South Lake Union neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 53033007403?

Median gross rent is $2,110/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 53033007403?

10.6% of residents in tract 53033007403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,793.

How socially vulnerable is tract 53033007403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 0th, minority 53th, housing 66th.

Is tract 53033007403 considered part of South Lake Union?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033007403 fall within South Lake Union (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 53033007403 compare to Seattle overall?

Tract 53033007403 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 53033007403 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seattle

Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.